ESPACIO PUBLICITARIO
CARACAS, Monday December 31, 2012 | Update
 
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CHÁVEZ'S HEALTH

Dieterich: Chavezism without Chávez is actually possible

The political expert estimated that Chavezism will remain in power for at least one presidential term. "Then, it will tend to follow the path of Venezuelan Acción Democrática party: it will stagnate and lose competitiveness"

GABRIELA TURZI VEGAS |  EL UNIVERSAL
Monday December 31, 2012  05:42 PM
Heinz Dieterich, the German sociologist viewed as Hugo Chávez's mentor, spoke about the possibility of "Chavezism without Chávez," explaining that such political trend is likely to remain in place because "its projects meet some modernization needs of the market economy and the national governance system." He added that Chavezism's projects are a "working model" which, in his view, will continue under Vice-President Nicolás Maduro.

Dieterich, who is credited with creating the concept of "21st Century Socialism," however, told Chilean newspaper La Tercera that Chavezism without Chávez may not become true, because projects like Chavezism and Peronism are marked by the unique features of the "personality of their creators" and take hold "under circumstances" that are "unrepeatable."

As for Chávez's move to appoint Maduro as a possible successor, Dieterich said the Venezuelan president based on three reasons: "1) He trusts that Maduro is the dolphin that most faithfully will seek to continue his political project (either the Bolivarian (revolution) or Chavezism); 2) Maduro is popular among people, and 3) Similarly, he can win elections against (opposition leader Henrique) Capriles."

Conversely, Dieterich warned that National Assembly Speaker Diosdado Cabello was ruled out as Chávez's successor because "he is not suitable for public activities, as he is a lousy speaker; he knows nothing about uttering a cohesive argument and lacks charisma." Dieterich stated further that Cabello is "ambitious and not very ethical and, therefore, not loyal." Although he stated that "he may be useful as a minister."

Dieterich estimated that Chavezism may remain in power for at least one presidential term. "Then, it will tend to follow the path of Venezuelan Acción Democrática party: it will stagnate and lose competitiveness. Anyway, the country will continue with the typical bipartisan political governance structure that characterizes capitalism today and that, in fact, never disappeared in Venezuela."

Survival chances "are slim"

Dieterich, on the other hand, stated that "it is impossible that (Chávez) takes office as president again." He added that the Head of State, reelected in the elections on October 7, suffers "a rapidly spreading cancer."

The political expert stressed he has a relationship of "friendship" and "collaboration" with Chávez.
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At first she agreed that I use her real name, that she had no problems with that at all. After all, living with HIV had driven her to help others – as a workshop facilitator giving talks and conducting seminars, or as a volunteer for local AIDS Service Organizations like Acción Solidaria (Solidary Action) and Mujeres Unidas por la Salud (Women United for Health, or Musa), a support group network for HIV-positive women. But when we were well into the interview, the realization that she might lose her private health insurance coverage made her change her mind.

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