Venezuelan swap market expected by 2014
Datanálisis thinks resistance to devaluation must be overcome inside the Government
León said it would take from two to six months to complete a process that not only includes the general layout of the mechanism, but also making the legal reforms that shall be approved in Parliament, for instance, the Law against Related Exchange Offenses.
Datanálisis has suggested overcoming "ideological resistance" including that of Planning Minister Jorge Giordani, who along with many others believe the forex market shall be governed by foreign exchange controls and models such as the Foreign Exchange Administration Commission (Cadivi) and the Ancillary Foreign Currency Administration System (Sicad), therefore increasing State intervention in the economy.
Further, León explained that "decision making in the economic area with a political impact in the short term is very difficult. The Government does not want to be punished by the population due to a significant devaluation (prior to the local election) and then being held accountable for both inflation and shortage, which will take place anyway, as devaluation will not solve them."
A group of some 60 Venezuelan economists from across the country and from different generations and backgrounds, has met regularly in the past couple of years and now has brought forth a document explaining the reasons of the current emergency and outlining specific proposals on how to address the serious economic crisis the country has plunged into over the last three years.