Venezuelan swap market expected by 2014
Datanálisis thinks resistance to devaluation must be overcome inside the Government
León said it would take from two to six months to complete a process that not only includes the general layout of the mechanism, but also making the legal reforms that shall be approved in Parliament, for instance, the Law against Related Exchange Offenses.
Datanálisis has suggested overcoming "ideological resistance" including that of Planning Minister Jorge Giordani, who along with many others believe the forex market shall be governed by foreign exchange controls and models such as the Foreign Exchange Administration Commission (Cadivi) and the Ancillary Foreign Currency Administration System (Sicad), therefore increasing State intervention in the economy.
Further, León explained that "decision making in the economic area with a political impact in the short term is very difficult. The Government does not want to be punished by the population due to a significant devaluation (prior to the local election) and then being held accountable for both inflation and shortage, which will take place anyway, as devaluation will not solve them."
That political protest in Venezuela has lost momentum seems pretty obvious: people are no longer building barricades to block off streets near Plaza Francia in Altamira (eastern Caracas), an anti-government stronghold; no new images have been shown of brave and dashing protesters with bandanna-covered faces clashing with the National Guard in San Cristóbal, in the western state of Táchira; and those who dreamed of a horde of "Gochos" (Tachirans) descending in an avalanche to stir up revolt in Caracas have been left with no option but to wake up to reality.