Barclays: Venezuela shifts to a balance of payment crisis
Venezuela's total amount of US dollars likely to hit their lowest level since 2005
Barclays claims that the gap between the official forex rate (VEB 6.30) and the forex parallel rate is 600% roughly, therefore progressively leading to a crisis in the balance of payments.
It adds that if the Government insists on selling US dollars without taking into account supply and demand, rationing of US dollars would continue.
Venezuela's international liquid reserves have fallen some 26% this year. Barclays estimates that reserves will continue dropping along with the rest of the funds in US dollars managed in the country.
As a result, Venezuela's total amount of foreign currency in 2013 might end below USD 50 billion, that is, the lowest level since 2005, even if taking into consideration the downfall experienced in 2009, when oil prices plummeted amid the world crisis.
María Fernanda Astudillo is a store analyst for Alimentos Polar working at the company's facilities in La Yaguara. At only 23 years of age, she has made a career in that company where she has worked for the last six years. Now, besides her responsibilities, which include overseeing shipping/receiving and warehousing of goods, she is taking part in the roundtable discussions among the other companies operating in the La Yaguara industrial park, the Government and the workers exploring possible ways of coping with the order to expropriate the land.