Venezuela's fiscal deficit leads to second devaluation in five weeks
If the foreign currency rate averaged VEB 14 per US dollar in the Ancillary Foreign Currency Administration System, the fiscal gap would be brought down to 10.2% of the gross domestic product
As a result, two devaluations have been implemented in the last five weeks so as to obtain more bolivars per petrodollars. However, it all seems that despite the significant adjustment in the foreign exchange rate, which will spur the cost of imports and therefore will hit the people, the fiscal crisis will continue.
On February 8, the forex rate in the Foreign Exchange Administration Commission (Cadivi) was cut (46.5%) from VEB 4.30 to VEB 6.30 per US dollar. Likewise, on March 27, the newly created Ancillary Foreign Currency Administration System (Sicad) sold US dollars at a higher rate than its predecessor, the Transaction System for Foreign Currency Denominated Securities (Sitme), whose forex rate was VEB 5.30 per US dollar.
Although Sicad did not reveal the price of the US dollars sold in the bid launched on March 26, financial sources have said that companies paid VEB 11-14 per US dollar, that is, twice the rate in Sitme.
Investment bank Barclays Capital underscored that if Sicad sold some USD 10 billion at an average rate of VEB 14 per US dollar and the rest of US dollars at the rate of VEB 6.30 per dollar, the fiscal deficit would plummet from 19.6% to 10.2% of the gross domestic product.
Translated by Jhean Cabrera
President Nicolás Maduro is not only the heir to the throne, but also to an economic crisis which demanded urgent measures to rectify the course. The crisis showed up in two aspects: a 50% inflation estimate, and shortage of staples ranging between 70% and 98%. These issues might hit the President's poor popularity; considering his feeble electoral victory of 1% over his challenger.