Barclays Capital: Blinding Sicad exchange rate hints strong devaluation
The investment bank postulates that had the average exchange rate been near VEB 6.30 per US dollar, the Venezuelan government would have deemed it a success and disclosed the data
Failure to disclose the average exchange rate bet by the companies for the US dollars prompts investment bank Barclays Capital suggest a strong devaluation of the local currency, for the second time in 47 days.
"First explanation about why the (Venezuelan) government did not announce the price of the first auction at Sicad seems to be a significant devaluation of the currency," the investment bank hypothesized in a note.
Barclays added that in light of this scenario, Venezuelan authorities abstained from revealing the average price of the bets for the US dollar, thus "avoiding the political cost of the announcement of a second devaluation in less than two-month term."
Had the average exchange rate been near VEB 6.30 per US dollar, the Venezuelan government would have deemed it a success and disclosed the data, they reasoned.
That political protest in Venezuela has lost momentum seems pretty obvious: people are no longer building barricades to block off streets near Plaza Francia in Altamira (eastern Caracas), an anti-government stronghold; no new images have been shown of brave and dashing protesters with bandanna-covered faces clashing with the National Guard in San Cristóbal, in the western state of Táchira; and those who dreamed of a horde of "Gochos" (Tachirans) descending in an avalanche to stir up revolt in Caracas have been left with no option but to wake up to reality.