Venezuelan domestic debt jumps 62% in 2012
Funding in bolivars is advantageous for the government
In this way, a likely devaluation would allow the government to obtain more bolivars for petrodollars, thus readily reducing the debt burden on public accounts.
In its latest financial report, research firm Síntesis Financiera stated that Venezuela's domestic debt, that is the debt in bolivars, ended at VEB 249.3 billion (USD 57.97 billion) in 2012, which is 62% higher than in 2011, thus climbing from 9% of GDP to 16.3% of GDP.
It is advantageous for the government to issue debt bonds and treasury bills that are sold to Venezuelan banks. Such titles are placed at very low interest rates and, should the government have trouble to repay such debt, it could force financial institutions to extend the maturity date.
Meanwhile, banks get tax-free large profits. In fact, this is one of the factors that led to an 86%-increase in profit the Venezuelan financial system in 2012.
For the first quarter this year, the Ministry of Finance plans to issue more debt bonds and treasury bills for some VEB 14.9 billion (USD 3.46 billion).
In the meantime, financial institutions such as Barclays suggest that including all the debt of Venezuela, both in bolivars and dollars, the debt-to-GDP ratio has surged from 23% in 2008 to 51% at the end of 2012.
Although this relationship remains manageable, it has grown rapidly amidst a period of booming oil prices. The government has resorted to additional indebtedness in order to close the gap between revenue and public spending, which stands at some 16% of GDP.
That political protest in Venezuela has lost momentum seems pretty obvious: people are no longer building barricades to block off streets near Plaza Francia in Altamira (eastern Caracas), an anti-government stronghold; no new images have been shown of brave and dashing protesters with bandanna-covered faces clashing with the National Guard in San Cristóbal, in the western state of Táchira; and those who dreamed of a horde of "Gochos" (Tachirans) descending in an avalanche to stir up revolt in Caracas have been left with no option but to wake up to reality.