ESPACIO PUBLICITARIO
CARACAS, Thursday December 13, 2012 | Update
 
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ECONOMY

Experts: Devaluation in Venezuela is a pressing need

Think tank Econométrica remarked that devaluation is vital to prevent shortage from worsening

Shortage is commonplace in supermarkets and grocery stores throughout Venezuela (File photo)
EL UNIVERSAL
Thursday December 13, 2012  11:58 AM
Think tank Econométrica said in its latest report that "an adjustment in the foreign exchange rate cannot wait" even despite the Venezuelan president's health condition and the fact that elections may be held in the medium term.

"The forex adjustment is necessary to partially reduce the accumulated fiscal and monetary imbalances, but on top of all, the adjustment is vital to avoid excessive shortage of US dollars and goods," Econométrica remarked.

The firm explained that in order to avoid basic goods shortage, an adjustment in the price of regulated staples will not be enough. It is imperative to devaluate the currency as well. 

"Upon devaluation, the value of the US currency rises while forex demand to meet the supply of unnecessary commodities drops as people are not willing to pay a higher price per US dollar. With this move, there will be more US dollars to meet the supply of essential products."

The report explained the possible impact of shortage on the markets, highlighting that "common citizens usually blame entrepreneurs for inflation. The Government has stepped up as guarantor of supply. This explains the incorporation of different governmental food distribution companies enterprises such as Mercal, Pdval, among others."

In the current political scenario, "failing to devaluate the currency would not only be an economic mistake, but also a political error as it implies that the Government will have to pay the highest cost: shortage."

Translated by Jhean Cabrera
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Is protest over?

That political protest in Venezuela has lost momentum seems pretty obvious: people are no longer building barricades to block off streets near Plaza Francia in Altamira (eastern Caracas), an anti-government stronghold; no new images have been shown of brave and dashing protesters with bandanna-covered faces clashing with the National Guard in San Cristóbal, in the western state of Táchira; and those who dreamed of a horde of "Gochos" (Tachirans) descending  in an avalanche to stir up revolt in Caracas have been left with no option but to wake up to reality.

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