Official exchange rate deemed overvalued at 100%
International reserves fell down again to USD 25.7 billion
Macroeconomic policies in the agenda of the Government of President Hugo Chávez exhibit foreign exchange adjustment, even devaluation. However, the new political scenery raises doubt about the prompt implementation of this kind of decision making.
"We can see a combination of components that point to the need to fix the official exchange rate and open a foreign currency flow in line with imports and other payments required by the economy," maintained think tank Síntesis Financiera.
In the opinion of this firm, the official exchange rate at VEB 4.30 per US dollar is overvalued at 100%. It is a level approaching the record of 115% of overvaluation smashed in December 2009, just one month before the devaluation where two tiers of official exchange rate were set in order to lessen the inflationary impact of correction.
Minister of Finance Jorge Giordani has hinted the possibility not to disrupt the official exchange rate and enhance rationing of foreign currency.
The report released by Síntesis Financiera highlighted the performance of international reserves, which fell down again to USD 25.7 billion. It noted as well that international reserves have shed USD 4.1 billion this year.
That political protest in Venezuela has lost momentum seems pretty obvious: people are no longer building barricades to block off streets near Plaza Francia in Altamira (eastern Caracas), an anti-government stronghold; no new images have been shown of brave and dashing protesters with bandanna-covered faces clashing with the National Guard in San Cristóbal, in the western state of Táchira; and those who dreamed of a horde of "Gochos" (Tachirans) descending in an avalanche to stir up revolt in Caracas have been left with no option but to wake up to reality.