CARACAS, Thursday November 22, 2012 | Update

Venezuela's foreign debt breaks USD 102 billion ceiling

Skyrocketing government expenditure is weakening public finance

Both climbing public expenses and growing debt are unsustainable. Imminent adjustments may curb growth in 2013 (File photo)
Thursday November 22, 2012  11:19 AM
Immersed in a decisive year when Hugo Chávez was to secure his stay in office and boost the election of his candidates for state governors, the Government has shot up expenditure to the highest level ever recorded in the history of Venezuela to spur economic growth. The consequences, however, are starting to emerge.

Public spending is vital to fund housing programs and boost consumption. Over the last 12 months, the central government's spending, after inflation, has climbed by 26%. High oil prices and tax collection have failed to meet growing spending. Therefore, the government has been forced to issue new debt bonds.

Central bank's data indicates that, for the first time ever, by the end of the third quarter Venezuela's foreign debt broke the USD 100 billion ceiling. It currently stands at USD 102.3 billion, jumping 103% in four years and USD 5.5 billion in July-September only.

Likewise, debts to the Venezuelan banking system skyrocketed amidst constant bond sales. According to Barclays Capital, considering the size of the economy, Venezuela's debt both in US dollars and local currency (bolivars) will account for 51.6% of the GDP, therefore, doubling the figure recorded in 2008. 

Although the debt-to-GDP ratio is still manageable, debt is growing at an unsustainable speed. Apparently, Hugo Chávez' Government will have to cut expenditure and adjust the fixed foreign exchange rate in order to bridge the gap between expenditure and income, which according to some estimates, fluctuates between 15-19% of GDP.

Adopting such steps will bring down economic growth in 2013.

Translated by Jhean Cabrera
One crisis, two visions

A group of some 60 Venezuelan economists from across the country and from different generations and backgrounds, has met regularly in the past couple of years and now has brought forth a document explaining the reasons of the current emergency and outlining specific proposals on how to address the serious economic crisis the country has plunged into over the last three years.

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fotter Estampas
fotter Estampas